Maitiro Akakosha Eindasitiri (2025-2026)
Chikamu chepasi rose chemagetsi nemidziyo yemagetsi chiri kuchinja mamiriro acho zvichitungamirirwa nekushandiswa kwesimba rinogona kushandiswazve, kudiwa kwemagetsi kuri kuwedzera uye kugadziriswa kwegrid. Zvichitsigirwa neruzivo rwakavimbika, pazasi pane maitiro anogona kuitwa uye akavakirwa pachokwadi ari kuchinja musika.
1. Zvinogona Kuvandudzwa Kuti Zvipfuure Marasha Sesimba Rinonyanya Kushandiswa Panosvika 2026
Sekureva kwemushumo weIEA weMagetsi 2026, magetsi anogayiwazve achadarika marasha senzvimbo huru pasi rose panosvika gore ra2026—zvichizoguma nekutonga kwemarasha kwemakore angangoita zana. Magirazi ezuva nemhepo zvichave 20% yemagetsi epasi rose panosvika gore ra2026 (kubva pa15% muna 2024), nemagetsi ezuva achange achipfuura simba remhepo, nyukireya nemagetsi emvura mumakore anotevera. Kuchinja uku kuri kusimudzira kudiwa kwemaPV inverters, matransformer, magiya ane simba guru uye michina yekuparadzira magetsi.
2. Kukura Kwemagetsi Kwakarekodhwa Kunosimbisa Kuwanikwa Kwezvikamu
Kudiwa kwemagetsi pasi rose kuchakwira ne3.3% (2025) uye 3.7% (2026), zvichiwedzera kaviri kukura kwesimba, zvichikonzerwa nekushandiswa kwemagetsi mumaindasitiri (60% kubva kuAsia), kuwedzera kwedata center/AI uye kushandiswa kweEV. Kuwedzera uku kwaita kuti pave nekuwanikwa kwakawanda kwezvikamu zvakakosha: matransformer, switchgear, macircuit breakers uye macable, zvichikurudzira vagadziri kuti vawedzere kugadzirwa.
3. Mari Yekuchengetedza Mabhatiri Inodonha, Kuwedzera Kudiwa Kwekuchinjika Kwegridi
Data reBloombergNEF rinoratidza kuti mari yekuchengetedza mabhatiri kwemaawa mana yakaderera ne27% pagore kusvika pamadhora makumi manomwe nemasere paMWh muna 2025 (yakaderera zvikuru), zvichiita kuti simba rekuchengetedza simba rezuva riwedzere pa87GW gore rapera. Kudzikira kwemitengo kuri kukonzera kudiwa kwezvinodzora grid zvakangwara, masisitimu ekugadzirisa mabhatiri (BMS) uye michina yekugadzikana inotsigira kugadzirwa kwemagetsi kunogona kuvandudzwa.
4. Vatengesi vekuAsia Vanotungamira Kukura kweChiketani Chekugovera Pasirose
Ruzivo rwezvekutengeswa kwemagetsi rwekutanga kwa2026 rwunoratidza kutengeswa kwemidziyo yemagetsi yakasimba kubva kuAsia: Kutengeswa kwemidziyo yemagetsi muChina kwakakwira ne32.7% YoY (Ndira-Kukadzi), neUHV nemagetsi eDC transmission gear akawedzera ne81.5%. Kudiwa kwepasi rose kwezvikamu zvemagetsi mashoma nematransformer ekuparadzira kuchiri kwakasimba kuMiddle East, North America neEurope, nedambudziko diki rinokonzerwa nemitengo yezvinhu zvisina kugadzirwa uye logistics.
5. Maonero Enguva Refu: Kudyara Mari muGrid Kunokurudzira Kukura Kwakasimba
IEA inofungidzira kuti simba remagetsi risingaburitse mweya zvakanyanya richasvika 50% yemagetsi epasi rose panosvika gore ra2030 (kubva pa42% muna 2025), zvichireva kuti zvinoda mari yakawanda yegrid nekuchengetedza. Izvi zvinoita kuti pave nekudiwa kwemidziyo yemagetsi inoshanda uye inoenderana nezvinodiwa nemakambani ekugara, emabhizimisi nemaindasitiri.
Pfungwa Huru: Chikamu chemidziyo yemagetsi chakagadzirirwa kukura kwakasimba muna 2026, zvichikurudzirwa nekuchinja kwemagetsi kunogona kuvandudzwa uye kuvandudzwa kwegrid. Vatengesi vanotarisisa mhinduro dzinoshanda zvakanyanya, dzakangwara uye dzinogara kwenguva refu vachawana mikana yakawanda yemusika.
---
Zvekare, data rese rinobva kuIEA Electricity 2026 Report pamwe nedata rekutengeserana kwetsika pasi rose.
Nguva yekutumira: Kurume-17-2026
